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But if you enter population of 122,000,000 and sample size of 1220, then you get a manageably small sampling error of about 3%, even though this sample consists of only 1 in every 100,000 voters-to-be from the population. Traditional response rates in randomly selected telephone exchange samples are declining, and those not called differ substantially from those called. The New York Times/CBS News Poll - a useful archive ° On Politics - Washington Post Archive The Pew Research Center for The People & The Press Polling - Public Opinion Online - This is a compilation site organized by subject. Program on International Policy Attitudes (PIPA) ° Public Agenda Online - Public Opinion and Public Policy Survey USA Methodology - They do simultaneous 50-state surveys for presidential election forecasting, comparison of state and regional presidential approval, and other cross-unit comparative purposes. Content addressing an explosive topic is not itself grounds for sensing "ugly" in a poll. I recommend studying the legitimate polls to see how two or three of them address such hot-button topics as abortion or gun control. Enough Already with Random Digit Dialing: A Proposal to Use Registration-Based Sampling to Improve Pre-Election Polling, May 5, 2002.

Their practices and results are of doubtful value, to say the least. New Telemarketing Ploy Steers Voters on Republican Path, New York Times, 12/6/06. Here are some sites that promote literacy in handling numerical, statistical, and mathematical information: ° - the home site; below are subcategories with extensive links to illustrative sources ° numeracy ° numeracy - Archives ° critical thinking ° Knowlogy Numbskull abuses with numbers - Here's a rich category, probably unlimited in potential number of examples. Push Polls: 2003_pushpollstatement from AAPOR - American Association for Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) NCPP - National Council on Public Polls - Press WARNING on push polls as political telemarketing Campaigns & Elections: What Are Push Polls, Anyway? ° The Skeptic's Refuge, including link to The Skeptic's Dictionary: A Guide for the New Millennium Specific polls (all "good" ones, of course): ° American attitudes Program on International Policy Attitudes from Program on International Policy Attitudes (PIPA) ; intro at [PIPA] About Us says "This website will report on US public opinion on a broad range of international policy issues, integrating all publicly available polling data." ° Current Population Survey Main Page and CPS Overview - From the U. Bureau of the Census, the CPS has special benefit of exceptionally large samples that can be subdivided almost endlessly. ° Eurobarometer - Monitoring the Public Opinion in the European Union ° European Public Opinion - Homepage The Gallup Organization - Gallup has gone commercial, limiting web access to subscribers only. These polls are so pervasive in modern life that the need to accomplish this is self-evident. No citizen should wander into the public informational arena lacking the equipment for protection against false and misleading sales pitches. Golf Web Wire Services, - Is the Augusta National poll misleading? In that spirit, I offer this piece as a shield against the bad and ugly of the survey world at large. Renka °Polling Links: ° Blogs and Commentary on Polls ° Data Sources ° Election Polls ° Embarrassments in polling history ° General Sources for Polls and Surveys ° How to interpret and judge polls ° New York Times Polling Standards ° Numeracy ° Numbskull abuses with numbers ° Push Polls ° Skepticism ° Specific polls (all "good" ones, of course) ° Statistical basis of polling ° Ugly Poll List Polling Links: Next down; Top Blogs and Commentary on polls: ° Mystery Pollster and Mystery Pollster - Pollsters by Mark Blumenthal is excellent for "Demystifying the Science and Art of Political Polling." Data Sources: ° NORC--The General Social Survey at the University of Chicago; very widely used data source, abundant documentation ° Center for Political Studies at the University of Michigan, Ann Arbor - gateway to several major sources ° Public Opinion Quarterly - journal devoted to methodology and results of public opinion surveys CESSDA Home Page from Council of European Social Science Data Archives ° National Network of State Polls - "the largest available collection of state-level data," from the data archive of the Odum Institute for Research in Social Science ° Real Clear Politics - Polls from John Mc Intyre and Tom Bevan Election Polls: ° The Cook Political Report's National Poll - biweekly election-year polling, from Associated Press and Ipsos Public Affairs (also see Ipsos News Center - Polls, Public Opinion, Research & News) ° American Research Group Inc. 20 Questions A Journalist Should Ask About Poll Results, Third Edition.

Their practices and results are of doubtful value, to say the least. New Telemarketing Ploy Steers Voters on Republican Path, New York Times, 12/6/06.

Here are some sites that promote literacy in handling numerical, statistical, and mathematical information: ° - the home site; below are subcategories with extensive links to illustrative sources ° numeracy ° numeracy - Archives ° critical thinking ° Knowlogy Numbskull abuses with numbers - Here's a rich category, probably unlimited in potential number of examples. Push Polls: 2003_pushpollstatement from AAPOR - American Association for Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) NCPP - National Council on Public Polls - Press WARNING on push polls as political telemarketing Campaigns & Elections: What Are Push Polls, Anyway? ° The Skeptic's Refuge, including link to The Skeptic's Dictionary: A Guide for the New Millennium Specific polls (all "good" ones, of course): ° American attitudes Program on International Policy Attitudes from Program on International Policy Attitudes (PIPA) ; intro at [PIPA] About Us says "This website will report on US public opinion on a broad range of international policy issues, integrating all publicly available polling data." ° Current Population Survey Main Page and CPS Overview - From the U. Bureau of the Census, the CPS has special benefit of exceptionally large samples that can be subdivided almost endlessly.

° Eurobarometer - Monitoring the Public Opinion in the European Union ° European Public Opinion - Homepage The Gallup Organization - Gallup has gone commercial, limiting web access to subscribers only.

These polls are so pervasive in modern life that the need to accomplish this is self-evident. No citizen should wander into the public informational arena lacking the equipment for protection against false and misleading sales pitches. Golf Web Wire Services, - Is the Augusta National poll misleading?

In that spirit, I offer this piece as a shield against the bad and ugly of the survey world at large. Renka °Polling Links: ° Blogs and Commentary on Polls ° Data Sources ° Election Polls ° Embarrassments in polling history ° General Sources for Polls and Surveys ° How to interpret and judge polls ° New York Times Polling Standards ° Numeracy ° Numbskull abuses with numbers ° Push Polls ° Skepticism ° Specific polls (all "good" ones, of course) ° Statistical basis of polling ° Ugly Poll List Polling Links: Next down; Top Blogs and Commentary on polls: ° Mystery Pollster and Mystery Pollster - Pollsters by Mark Blumenthal is excellent for "Demystifying the Science and Art of Political Polling." Data Sources: ° NORC--The General Social Survey at the University of Chicago; very widely used data source, abundant documentation ° Center for Political Studies at the University of Michigan, Ann Arbor - gateway to several major sources ° Public Opinion Quarterly - journal devoted to methodology and results of public opinion surveys CESSDA Home Page from Council of European Social Science Data Archives ° National Network of State Polls - "the largest available collection of state-level data," from the data archive of the Odum Institute for Research in Social Science ° Real Clear Politics - Polls from John Mc Intyre and Tom Bevan Election Polls: ° The Cook Political Report's National Poll - biweekly election-year polling, from Associated Press and Ipsos Public Affairs (also see Ipsos News Center - Polls, Public Opinion, Research & News) ° American Research Group Inc. 20 Questions A Journalist Should Ask About Poll Results, Third Edition.

Zogby International Statistical basis of polling: ° Statistics Every Writer Should Know from Robert ° Statistics Every Writer Should Know - Margin of Error ° Statistics Every Writer Should Know - Standard Deviation ° Statistics Every Writer Should Know - Mean ° Statistics Every Writer Should Know - Median ° Sample Sizes ° Calculate a Sample ° The Stats Board ° Statistical Assessment Service Ugly Poll List (I am always looking for these characters.) Opinion Center is from Opinion Center.com; these characters take the cake for slanted and biased questions.